Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.010289 0.012340 0.014871 0.018286 0.022880 0.029002 0.038075
2025-04-27 0.007911 0.010338 0.013737 0.019073 0.027726 0.042253 0.071381
2025-05-04 0.006486 0.008927 0.012622 0.019037 0.030940 0.054953 0.118619
2025-05-11 0.005562 0.007949 0.011783 0.018979 0.033910 0.069476 0.195616
2025-05-18 0.004816 0.007073 0.010856 0.018393 0.035489 0.082461 0.304804
2025-05-25 0.004182 0.006261 0.009856 0.017338 0.035506 0.091583 0.439251
2025-06-01 0.003720 0.005666 0.009125 0.016618 0.036023 0.103301 0.672402
2025-06-08 0.003478 0.005410 0.008965 0.017073 0.039944 0.133480 1.493379
2025-06-15 0.003202 0.005057 0.008556 0.016844 0.041803 0.158747 3.200638
2025-06-22 0.002892 0.004607 0.007888 0.015831 0.040695 0.167517 5.409831
2025-06-29 0.002727 0.004406 0.007695 0.015958 0.043633 0.208763 23.692433
2025-07-06 0.002645 0.004352 0.007798 0.016889 0.050267 0.302148 717373.858632
2025-07-13 0.002560 0.004299 0.007936 0.018104 0.059978 0.502184 NaN
2025-07-20 0.002443 0.004172 0.007898 0.018838 0.068809 0.822895 NaN
2025-07-27 0.002294 0.003965 0.007637 0.018801 0.073833 1.203241 NaN
2025-08-03 0.002162 0.003776 0.007391 0.018744 0.078986 1.826285 NaN
2025-08-10 0.002020 0.003552 0.007024 0.018168 0.080349 2.447333 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001870 0.003300 0.006559 0.017130 0.077615 2.750981 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001750 0.003101 0.006207 0.016422 0.076914 3.413611 NaN
2025-08-31 0.001691 0.003030 0.006168 0.016869 0.086155 7.813498 NaN
2025-09-07 0.001609 0.002902 0.005967 0.016644 0.089658 14.450348 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001504 0.002715 0.005593 0.015647 0.085016 15.248754 NaN
2025-09-21 0.001450 0.002639 0.005501 0.015773 0.091794 48.097014 NaN